The
Colombian Drug Quagmire
Colombia
is on the brink of anarchy, largely because of the U.S.-sponsored drug
war.
By
Don North
For
a Washington journalist, traveling to Colombia to attempt an understanding
of the drug war is like being Alice stepping through the looking glass.
It looks very different from a Colombian perspective.
From that perspective, it is the "demand" countries -- like
the United States -- that provide the market for drugs, sell the precursor
chemicals necessary to process the drugs, encourage the banks through
which the proceeds are being laundered and also sell the guns and helicopters
with which Colombians are killing each other.
Journalist Juan Salas, writing in the Bogota daily newspaper El Tiempo,
mirrors Colombian public opinion. Although he may have an exaggerated
concept of market prices, his commentaries complaining of U.S. drug
war hypocrisy are well received: "A kilo of cocaine fetches about
$2,000 in Colombia. By the time it lands in the U.S., after transportation
and bribery costs, it usually sells for $20,000. Then, via a chain of
intermediaries, it sells on the streets for the phenomenal sum of $60,000.
With $40,000 in profit, the big drug barons are North Americans. We
have a few skeletons in our closets to be aware of, but our big neighbor
in the North is up to his eyeballs in hypocrisy -- a hypocrisy which
we pay for in blood whilst they pick up the dollars."
As a correspondent in Vietnam and El Salvador for many years, I tend
to gauge new conflicts in terms of the old ones I have covered. There
are some parallels here, to be sure. Colombia feels like Vietnam in
the mid-'60s, when the Saigon government held the cities, the Viet Cong
controlled the countryside and the U.S. military thought spraying the
country with the toxic defoliant Agent Orange was a good idea. It also
reminds me of El Salvador in 1980 with its great divide between the
rich and the landless poor; inequalities that drove unemployed and hopeless
youths to join the guerrilla forces.
However, Colombia is unique. Her problems, which are largely a by-product
of the drug war, are deep and complex, and they defy easy comparisons
or solutions.
Colombia is on the brink of anarchy and civil war. It is the most violent
country in the world. The Colombia Commission of Jurists reports that
6,067 people were killed in 2000 as a result of "socio-political
violence" -- an increase of 50 percent over the previous year.
The jurists blamed the right-wing forces, paramilitary, Autodefensas
Unidas de Colombia (AUC), for 49 percent of the killings and the leftist
guerrillas, Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia (FARC), for
an additional 11 percent. Over the past decade an estimated 40,000 Colombians
have died violently.
Last year over 3,700 people were abducted by guerrillas, "paras"
(paramilitary troops) or thugs who traffic in kidnapped people. That's
about 10 a day, a pace that continues even now. This constant conflict
has caused two million Colombians to crowd into satanic slums adjacent
to the cities to escape rural violence. More and more displaced Colombians
arrive in the capital, Bogota, every day. One million of the more affluent
have fled to neighboring countries or to the United States.
Yet Colombia is also one of the oldest democracies in the Western Hemisphere,
with millions of well-educated and industrious citizens. Its 40 universities
are all crowded to overflowing. For much of the last century, Colombia
was a model of economic stability and success in Latin America. Although
overdue for political and judicial reforms, and in spite of its history
of corruption and exploitation by drug lords, Colombia is a much more
vibrant and deserving society than any other ally we have tried to help
since World War II. Its collapse would unleash a flood of illegal drugs
and destitute refugees, spilling the conflict into neighboring states
and seriously destabilizing the economy of South America and ultimately
the United States.
A weak and ineffective central government has virtually ceded control
of Colombia outside the dozen major cities to armed gangs of drug traffickers,
leftist guerrillas and rightist paras -- assuring the country's increasing
economic deterioration and social disintegration.
World's
Leading Producer
In the early 1990s, Colombia was primarily a refining center for coca
harvested in Bolivia and Peru. By 1997 Colombia had become the world's
largest producer. Peru, once the top producer of coca in the world has,
with U.S.-financed repression programs, almost eradicated drug production.
In Bolivia, troops fanned out across the country and uprooted coca crops.
However, the demand for cocaine did not diminish, and coca cultivation
shifted to Colombia.
Seventy percent of Colombia's cocaine production is exported to the
United States. State Department figures, considered the most reliable,
estimate that in 1999, 520 tons -- 80 percent of the world's production
-- left Colombia. Today, United Nations drug officers say the export
may have increased to about 700 tons a year. About 200 tons are seized
by the authorities, leaving more than 500 tons a year making their way
into international drug markets.
Colombia is also the Western Hemisphere's largest producer and distributor
of refined heroin. In 1999, State Department estimates showed Colombian
poppy cultivation to be 7,500 hectares, a crop capable of producing
eight tons of refined heroin.
The U.S. government for the last two years has supported Plan Colombia,
described by the State Department as "an integrated strategy to
meet the most pressing challenges confronting Colombia today -- promoting
the peace process, combating the narcotics industry, reviving the Colombian
economy and strengthening the democratic pillars of Colombian society."
As part of its $1.3 billion support for the plan, the U.S. provides
assistance, including equipment, manpower and training, to the Colombian
military and police for its anti-drug efforts. It is these programs
that have proven particularly controversial.
Colombian
Criticism
There are growing numbers of influential Colombians increasingly opposed
to the anti-drug policies sponsored and financed by the United States.
Typical is German Martinez, a government official in Putamayo, an area
targeted by the plan for anti-drug efforts. He believes the U.S. initiatives
show a flawed understanding of the drug trade, which he sees as a troika
of grower, dealer and consumer. "The people of North America are
not distinguishing between the different links in the chain of narco-trafficking,"
he says. "The Colombian state should regain autonomy in policy
for dealing with coca cultivation, because this plan is not a vision
of Bogota, but responds only to the drug and counterinsurgency interests
of the United States."
Colombians are also puzzled by Washington's zeal for fumigation of coca
and poppy crops while maintaining the suspension of U.S. drug surveillance
flights over Peru and Colombia. An investigation is continuing into
the incident in April 2001 when an American Baptist missionary and her
infant daughter were killed when Peruvian Air Force fighters mistakenly
identified the missionary plane as an illegal drug flight. In late November,
Colombian President Andres Pastrana complained that Colombian drug smugglers
were taking advantage of the ban on U.S. anti-drug flights. Gen. Hector
Velasco, the Colombian Air Force commander, said that more than 100
illegal drug planes had passed unhindered through Colombian air space
since the suspension was put into effect last year.
It is not easy to intimidate Colombia's coca growers, who are supported
by over 30,000 heavily armed guerrillas and paramilitaries. During the
pervasive drug wars in the Andes over the past 10 years there has been
one very basic yardstick to measure the policy's failure: The price
of an ounce of cocaine on the streets of New York has dropped from $100
in 1990 to less than $30 today.
U.S.
Focus
The main focus of the U.S. anti-drug initiatives is to combat the cocaine
and heroin enterprise by fumigating crops and destroying labs. There
is a growing chorus of critics of this approach both within the Colombian
government and in the international community. Klaus Nyholm, chief of
the United Nations drug control efforts in Colombia, has maps that document
over 400,000 acres of coca fields growing today, an increase of about
10 percent despite the U.S.-sponsored eradication efforts.
Nyholm is particularly critical of the crop fumigation offensive. Crops
can be replanted within three months of fumigation, and the spraying
appears to have driven coca farmers to clearing and cultivating vast
new areas of virgin jungle to make up for any losses, he said. It also
alienates peasant farmers who grow small plots to survive in a desperate
economy. "It's not fair, in our view. The peasants and indigenous
people are not criminals," said Nyholm.
The United Nations opposes spraying of peasant plots of fewer than seven
acres. It accepts spraying of larger plantations, which the Colombian
government claims are run by drug traffickers, but believes all spraying
must be monitored for environmental effects. Nyholm has called for an
international audit of the cocaine crop-spraying program. "We believe
an international and neutral verification is needed," he said.
"There's lots of data, but it all comes from people who have an
interest in the issue. That's why we need verification, to find out
what is true and what is not true."
U.N. figures show no indication that repression at the source has had
any impact on the world price of cocaine, as the cost of the leaves
represents less than one-half of one percent of the cost of cocaine
on the streets of the U.S. and Europe.
A growing chorus of opposition from local governors and politicians
is asking why it is necessary to escalate an unwinnable war by adding
to the social chaos destroying Colombia in order to save it from growing
coca. Four governors from southern Colombian states and two senators
in the Colombian Congress recently told a news conference in Washington
that the fumigation is ineffective in stemming drug exports, endangers
the environment and violates the human rights of Colombian farmers.
Even the official government ombudsman, Eduardo Cifuentes, has demanded
suspension of the spraying. He questions the lack of an environmental
management plan and accurate information about the effects of the chemicals
used in fumigation. Neighboring Ecuador has asked that spraying be kept
six miles from its border.
But U.S. and Colombian government authorities say the fumigation will
not only continue but increase in the coming months. U.S. Ambassador
Anne Patterson warned that a halt in fumigation would have what she
described as an "immediate and devastating effect on further U.S.
support."
In a rare on-the-record statement to journalists in July 2001, she acknowledged
that there was far more cocaine and heroin growing in Colombia than
previously believed. Although about 135,000 acres of coca has been fumigated,
the overall cultivation of coca in Colombia increased by 11 percent.
"The pace of fumigation will pick up very dramatically," Patterson
said. "We expect drug cultivation to level off in about 18 months."
The number of crop-dusting planes in Colombia will more than double
over the next year, and there are also plans to outfit some crop dusters
with night-vision scopes to enable pilots to spray after dark, when
they are less exposed to fire from guerrillas, paramilitaries or farmers
who grow coca.
The
Aftermath of Sept. 11
The events of Sept. 11 have produced a radical shift in U.S. relations
with the world. Colombia is no exception. The Bush administration has
indicated it will be even less supportive of the peace process in Colombia,
which it believes has not worked. This applies particularly to the demilitarized
zone, a Switzerland-sized area of southern Colombia controlled by the
FARC, that officials in Washington claim is being used for drug trafficking
and training guerrillas.
While the FARC, the AUC and another insurgency group known as the ELN
all appear on the State Department's terrorist list, it is clear that
the FARC is the principal target of U.S. counterterrorism efforts. Francis
Taylor, the State Department's senior counterterrorism official, has
commented that Washington's strategy for fighting terrorism in the Western
Hemisphere will include "where appropriate, as we are doing in
Afghanistan, the use of military power." Taylor left little doubt
that "appropriate" targets included the FARC, which he described
as "the most dangerous international terrorist group based in this
hemisphere."
Colombia-watchers in Washington have differed widely in their assessment
of the effects on Colombia of the new international war on terrorism.
With official attention focused on Central Asia and the Middle East,
Washington is far less likely to get involved in a major effort against
the FARC in pursuit of either the drug war or counterinsurgency, some
believe. But others say that some Colombian politicians will feel a
new urgency to push the peace process forward, while those opposed to
the peace process will manipulate the new attitude toward international
terrorism to bolster greater counterterrorism and escalate the war.
On Colombia Human Rights Day, Sept. 9, newly appointed U.N. Special
Representative for Human Rights Hina Jilani said: "The best way
to achieve peace in Colombia lies in the promotion and protection of
human rights." Since then the FARC has kidnapped and murdered a
popular former minister of culture, Consuelo Araujo, and killed 18 villagers
near Tierralta, while the paras have massacred 176 civilians, assassinated
two elected representatives and five indigenous leaders.
And the U.N.'s Nyholm has admitted, "As long as the war continues,
there is no anti-drug strategy that will have any significant level
of success. Peace is the answer."
But the outlook for both peace in Colombia and curtailing the massive
drug exports is grim. The guerrillas remain strong and unresponsive
to President Pastrana's peace overtures. The FARC has grown rapidly
in strength to about 20,000 members on 70 fronts. Control of the demilitarized
zone in southern Colombia -- an area given as a condition of negotiations
with the Pastrana government -- has given the FARC a major strategic
asset. The future of the zone will be a major issue of this year's presidential
campaign, which culminates in elections in May. Pastrana is not a candidate.
The paramilitary AUC is quickly becoming the force to reckon with in
Colombia's 40-year-old civil war. According to Alfredo Rangel, a military
analyst, the paras are growing at an even faster rate than the FARC
in power and influence. Last year the paras had an estimated strength
of 8,000 troops; it is now estimated at over 11,000. If they continue
to grow at the same rate, they will equal the FARC within two years.
Both groups will attempt to boldly demonstrate their power and influence
before the presidential elections. Colombian analysts say the U.S. policy
of fighting only the drug problem while ignoring the civil war is futile,
as guerrillas and paras, flush with money from not only drugs but kidnaping
and extortion, gradually take over the country.
As
a features writer for the Hongkong China Mail, Don North's first assignment
as a war correspondent was in Borneo with the British Royal Marines
and Ghurkas fighting Indonesian guerrillas. Since then, he has covered
war and terrorism in a variety of locales, including Vietnam, the Middle
East and the Balkans, as a cameraman and correspondent for ABC News
and NBC News and as an independent filmmaker. Last summer North spent
two months in Colombia documenting the drug war for an NBC special and
in October 2001 covered the Afghan war with Northern Alliance forces.
When not covering international conflict, he lectures on journalism
and trains television journalists.